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predict remaining useful life -凯发k8网页登录

predict rul using specialized models designed for computing rul from system data, state estimators, or identified models

typically, you estimate the remaining useful life (rul) of a system by developing a model that can perform the estimation based on the time evolution or statistical properties of condition indicator values. predictions from such models are statistical estimates with associated uncertainty. they provide a probability distribution of the rul of the test machine.

the model you use can be a dynamic model such as those you obtain using system identification toolbox™ commands. predictive maintenance toolbox™ also includes some specialized models designed for computing rul from different types of measured system data. for an overview of the types of models you can use, see .

developing a model for rul prediction is the next step in the algorithm-design process after identifying promising condition indicators. because the model you develop uses the time evolution of condition indicator values to predict rul, this step is often iterative with the step of identifying condition indicators.

functions

quantify monotonic trend in condition indicators
measure of variability of condition indicators at failure
measure of similarity between trajectories of condition indicators

rul models

exponential degradation model for estimating remaining useful life
linear degradation model for estimating remaining useful life
hashed-feature similarity model for estimating remaining useful life
pairwise comparison-based similarity model for estimating remaining useful life
residual comparison-based similarity model for estimating remaining useful life
proportional hazard survival model for estimating remaining useful life
probabilistic failure-time model for estimating remaining useful life

training and prediction

estimate remaining useful life for a test component
compare test data to historical data ensemble for similarity models
estimate parameters of remaining useful life model using historical data
plot survival function for covariate survival remaining useful life model
reset remaining useful life degradation model
update posterior parameter distribution of degradation remaining useful life model

topics

rul basics


  • you can use recursive models, identified models, or state estimators to predict remaining useful life (rul). there are also specialized models designed for computing rul from system data.


  • rank features to determine best indicators of system degradation and improve accuracy of remaining useful life (rul) predictions.

  • this example shows how to segment data from a degrading system into frames, perform frame-based processing and feature extraction, and use prognostic ranking in diagnostic feature designer.

prediction using rul models


  • as data arrives from a machine under test, you can update the rul prediction with each new data point.

  • build a complete remaining useful life (rul) estimation algorithm from preprocessing, selecting trendable features, constructing health indicator by sensor fusion, training similarity rul estimators, and validating prognostics.
  • wind turbine high-speed bearing prognosis
    build an exponential degradation model to predict the remaining useful life (rul) of a wind turbine bearing in real time. the exponential degradation model predicts the rul based on its parameter priors and the latest measurements.

prediction using identified models or state estimators


  • estimate the states of a nonlinear system using an unscented kalman filter in simulink.

  • extract features from vibration signals from a ball bearing, conduct health monitoring, and perform prognostics.

prediction using artificial intelligence


  • predict the remaining cycle-life of a fast charging li-ion battery using a supervised machine learning algorithm.

  • this example shows how to predict the rul of engines using deep convolutional neural networks (cnn).

  • predict the remaining cycle-life of a fast charging li-ion battery by training a deep neural network.
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