banks and insurers run climate stress tests to gauge financial exposure to physical and transition climate risks
climate scenario analysis and stress testing explores the financial impacts and exposures on firms’ balance sheets and the financial system under a range of different potential climate pathways.
banking supervisors and other regulators are increasingly asking financial services businesses to incorporate climate change scenarios into their risk and stress-testing processes. this enables them to ensure that banks have sufficient capital to maintain operations during adverse climate scenarios or policy shocks. for example:
- the bank of england’s
- the ecb’s
- the
stress testing involves working with climate scenarios, or transition pathways, such as the network for greening the financial system (ngfs) climate scenarios or the ipcc’s representative concentration pathways (rcps), which are generated from integrated assessment models (iams) and can be accessed through matlab® with the .
combining climate data with the tools in the statistics and machine learning toolbox™, financial toolbox™, and risk management toolbox™ enables users to do the following:
- map scenario transitions to financial shocks and the impact on portfolios based on the climafin® methodology
- model the impact of climate risks on
- mitigate climate risks using credit and
- integrate physical climate data with the climate data toolbox for matlab
- perform monte carlo simulations
- measure the temperature impact of an equity portfolio using the
- for loan portfolios with respect to climate scenarios
examples and how to
software reference
see also: bank stress test, risk management solutions, monte carlo simulation, ifrs 9, basel iii, model risk, financial model validation,